Fight Week Odds – Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr

Jake Paul and Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. are set to fight in a cruiserweight bout on June 28 at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California. The betting odds have seen significant movement since the fight was announced, reflecting shifting confidence among bettors and oddsmakers as fight week progressed.

Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr – Fight Week Odds

Initially, when the matchup was first posted, Jake Paul opened as a -300 favorite, meaning you had to bet $300 to win $100 on Paul. Chavez Jr., the former WBC middleweight champion, was at +240, offering a more generous payout for an upset. Play more numbers with a certified no deposit casino Australia.

As the fight approached, however, the lines moved sharply in Jake Paul’s favor. By mid-May, Paul’s odds were as steep as -600 (in the three-way market) and -700 in the two-way market at BetMGM, while Chavez Jr. drifted to +450. This shift was fueled by perceptions of Paul’s youth, recent activity, and momentum, as well as concerns over Chavez Jr.’s age (39), inconsistent performances, and long stretches of inactivity.

In the days leading up to the fight, most major sportsbooks have Paul listed between -600 and -750, with Chavez Jr. between +400 and +475. For example, DraftKings has Paul at -575 and Chavez Jr. at +400, while FanDuel offers Paul at -700 and Chavez Jr. at +450. The implied probability for Paul to win sits at about 85–87.5% across most books, with Chavez Jr. given just a 15–20% chance.

When it comes to method of victory, there are several key lines. For Paul, a win by knockout or TKO is available at around +140 to +155, while a win by decision is about even money or slightly favored (roughly -110 to -120). Chavez Jr. is a long shot by any method: a win by knockout is in the range of +650 to +1000, and a win by decision is even longer at +1000. The odds for a draw are generally +1600 to +1800.

The betting market has consistently favored Jake Paul by a wide margin, with odds shifting even more in his direction as fight week approached. The method odds suggest Paul is most likely to win, with a slight lean toward a decision, but knockout odds are also attractive given his power and Chavez Jr.’s age and durability concerns. Chavez Jr. is considered a major underdog by all metrics, but could reward risk-tolerant bettors if he pulls off an upset.