Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.

Jake Paul will face Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. on June 28, 2025, at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California. The event is scheduled to start at 5pm PT (8pm ET) on Saturday, with the main event ring walks expected around 11pm ET. The bout is set for 10 rounds in the cruiserweight division.

Betting odds have shifted significantly since the fight was announced. Early lines had Paul as a -300 favorite, but he quickly became a -600 to -700 favorite with Chavez Jr. at +400 to +450. At one point, Paul was as high as a -1100 favorite before the market corrected to around -700, still reflecting strong confidence in his chances. The current crypto betting odds give Paul about an 87% chance to win, while Chavez Jr. is seen as a major underdog.

Expert predictions generally favor Jake Paul. Analysts highlight his youth, physical advantages, and recent form as key factors, while noting Chavez Jr.’s experience and boxing pedigree but also his age and inconsistency. Many expect Paul to win by stoppage in the middle or late rounds, though some believe the fight could go the distance if Chavez Jr. can use his experience to survive. Specific predictions include Paul by TKO in round 9, or a late stoppage between rounds 7-9. Others suggest Jake Paul may win by decision, especially if Chavez Jr. can avoid a knockout.

Jake Paul, 28, is a social media star turned professional boxer with an 11-1 record and seven knockouts. He is known for fighting a mix of influencers, MMA fighters, and professional boxers. His last notable bout was against Mike Tyson in November 2024, which he won by decision. Paul is recognized for his discipline and consistent training, as well as his ability to draw attention and controversy in the boxing world.

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr., 39, is the son of Mexican boxing legend Julio Cesar Chavez Sr. and a former WBC middleweight champion himself. Chavez Jr. While he has faced elite competition in the past, his prime years are behind him, and he has not held a title in over a decade. Chavez Jr. has struggled with consistency, motivation, and weight issues in recent years, but he remains the most experienced professional boxer Paul has faced.

Jake Paul is a heavy favorite to win, with most experts and oddsmakers expecting him to defeat Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. by either KO/TKO in the later rounds or by decision, depending on how well Chavez Jr. can handle Paul’s size, youth, and activity. Chavez Jr. remains a respected name due to his background and experience, but his recent form and motivation are major concerns.